Raven

Raven Public Research Report

Decision Timing (Technical)

Does an earlier decision always mean a better decision? This technical version exposes the evidence mechanics, replay boundary and test lineage.

Date range2026-03-01 to 2026-07-16
Days covered138
Evidence artifacts13867
Evidence-source records905639
Scenarios counted1247
Replay references1030
Qualification references460
Test references323990
Finding pages233

What this report shows

MTC and MTZ

The report separates measured time context from the decision point at which a weak signal can be treated as actionable evidence.

Safe uncertainty

Earlier is not automatically better. Raven must preserve UNKNOWN or HUMAN_REVIEW_REQUIRED when evidence does not support a confident recommendation.

Replay boundary

Replay is useful only when the visible inputs are frozen before the hidden outcome is compared.

Technical boundary

The technical version preserves source identifiers, test families and limitations without exposing private implementation paths.

Engineers should treat the numbers as internally reproducible counts from local artifacts, not as external validation.

Required customer validation

A customer pilot must provide incident history, topology context, ticket or dispatch evidence, decision timestamps and a mutually accepted ground-truth method.

Raven should prefer UNKNOWN or HUMAN_REVIEW_REQUIRED when those inputs are missing or contradictory.